Tag Archives: inflation

Is the Canadian Economy Going to Rebound in the Back Half of 2024?

Canadian Economy Skirts Recession

It looks like the Bank of Canada will get what it wanted, a soft economic landing, in which growth has slowed considerably but avoided a recession. In less than two years, the Bank of Canada raised interest rates 10 times, from near zero to 5%. In June 2022, Canadian inflation hit its highest level in […]

Weak Canadian Economy Could Force Bank of Canada to Reduce Interest Rates in April

Canadian economy

Canada’s inflation rate unexpectedly slipped below 3% in January, into the Bank of Canada’s target range of 2% to 3%. There’s still work to do if the central bank wants to get inflation down to 2%, but to do so, it may need to keep interest rates higher for longer. That would be bad news […]

Canadian Inflation Surprises to the Downside

Canadian Inflation Surprises to the Downside

The Bank of Canada delivered a pleasant surprise when it announced that the country’s inflation rate slowed more than expected in January to 2.9%. That’s down sharply from 3.4% in December and is lower than the 3.3% reading economists were looking for and the 3.2% mark forecast by the Bank of Canada. Of particular note, […]

U.S. Inflation Unexpectedly Heats Up in December, But Rate Cuts Still Expected

U.S. Inflation

The December Consumer Price Index, or CPI, which measures U.S. inflation, rose 0.3% month over month. to 3.4%. This is up from a November reading of 3.1% and higher than the 0.2% month-over-month increase and 3.2% annual reading economist’s were expecting. Housing costs were responsible for more than half of the increase in prices followed […]

Canada 2024: A Technical Recession, Rate Cuts, and the TSX

Canadian-Economy-in-2024

A lot can change in a year. In January 2023, Canada’s inflation rate stood at 5.9%, the Bank of Canada increased its overnight lending rate to 4.25%, and the TSX closed out 2022 down 1.25%. Fast forward to January 2024, and the inflation rate is down, but still too high at 3.1%, the overnight lending […]

Canada’s Inflation Slows to 3.1% in October—Will This Shut the Door on Additional Rate Hikes?

Canada’s Inflation Slows to 3.1% in October

Statistics Canada announced that Canada’s inflation rate slowed to 3.1% in October, that’s down significantly from the 3.8% reading in September. There is a caveat to that drop in inflation, however. The big deceleration was mainly a result of lower gas prices, which were down 6.4% over September and down 7.8% from where gas prices […]

Canada’s Inflation Rate Unexpectedly Falls to 3.8% in September

Canada’s Inflation Cools in September

Canada’s inflation rate unexpectedly dipped in September to 3.8%. That’s down from 4.0% in August. The 3.8% figure is below the 4.0% figure economists were expecting inflation to come in at. The cooling of Canada’s inflation was pretty broad based too, with prices falling for some travel-related services, durable goods, and groceries. The latter of […]

Additional Interest Rate Hikes Still on the Table But Canada Is Not Headed for a Recession

Additional Interest Rate Hikes

Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said that the central bank’s aggressive interest rate policy is working at bringing down inflation. After raising its key lending rate 10 times since the start of 2022, from 0.25% to 5.0%, Canada’s inflation rate has retraced from a 39-year high of 8.1% in June 2022 to 4.0% today. […]

TSX Falls After Canada’s Inflation Jumps to 4.0% In August

Canada’s Inflation Rate Jumps

Canada’s inflation rate unexpectedly jumped in August for the second month in a row. This increases the odds that the Bank of Canada could increase interest rates at least once more this year. After pausing its overnight lending rate earlier in September, investors were optimistic that it would hold interest rates at 5%. Will The […]

Bank of Canada Holds Interest Rate at 5% as Economy and Corporate Earnings Slow

Bank of Canada Holds Interest Rate at 5%

On September 6, the Bank of Canada announced it was holdings its key interest rate at 5%. In a prepared statement the country’s central bank said the cooling job market and slowing economic growth were two reasons why it opted to pause its benchmark lending rate. The Bank of Canada said, however, that should inflationary […]