Tag Archives: Canadian economy

Bank of Canada Announces Third Straight Interest Rate Cut

Interest Rate Cut

The Bank of Canada cut its overnight lending rate, which impacts interest rates charged for mortgages and other loans, for the third time, bringing interest rates down to 4.25%. The 25-basis-point cut was widely expected by Bay Street and follows similar cuts in June and July. The September 5 interest rate cut represents the third […]

Why the Bank of Canada Should Announce a July Rate Cut

Why the Bank of Canada Should Announce a July Rate Cut

In early June, the Bank of Canada cut interest rates for the first time since March 2020. The central bank cut its key overnight lending rate by 25 basis points to 4.75%. The big question is when the next interest rate cut will come. Will the Bank of Canada Cut Rates Again in July? At […]

The Bank of Canada Is Still Concerned About the Health of the Canadian Economy

Canadian Economy

After a year in which the Canadian economy experienced virtually no growth, the economy performed better than expected in the first quarter of 2024, with real gross domestic product (GDP) advancing 1.7% on an annual basis. That’s slower than the median forecast of 2.2% and below the Bank of Canada’s forecast of 2.8%, but it’s […]

Canadian GDP Loses Steam, Slows to Just 0.2%

Canadian GDP Loses Steam

Persistently high interest rates are taking a big bite out of the Canadian economy. In February, Canada’s gross domestic product (GDP) grew just 0.2% on a month-over-month basis. That’s lower than the 0.3% economists were expecting and well below Statistics Canada’s own advanced estimate of 0.4%. On an annual basis, Canadian GDP grew 0.8%, well […]

Canadian Inflation Inches up to 2.9% in March, Raises Bets of June Interest Rate Cut

Canadian Inflation Inches up to 2.9

According to Statistics Canada, the country’s inflation rate inched up to 2.9% in March, juiced by higher gasoline prices. That’s up from 2.8% in February but still close to its 2% target. The March results were also in line with what Bay Street analysts were expecting. While the consumer price index (CPI) rose slightly, measures […]

Is the Canadian Economy Going to Rebound in the Back Half of 2024?

Canadian Economy Skirts Recession

It looks like the Bank of Canada will get what it wanted, a soft economic landing, in which growth has slowed considerably but avoided a recession. In less than two years, the Bank of Canada raised interest rates 10 times, from near zero to 5%. In June 2022, Canadian inflation hit its highest level in […]

Weak Canadian Economy Could Force Bank of Canada to Reduce Interest Rates in April

Canadian economy

Canada’s inflation rate unexpectedly slipped below 3% in January, into the Bank of Canada’s target range of 2% to 3%. There’s still work to do if the central bank wants to get inflation down to 2%, but to do so, it may need to keep interest rates higher for longer. That would be bad news […]

The TSX: Too High, Too Fast, Too Soon?

The TSX: Too High, Too Fast, Too Soon?

The TSX, Canada’s main stock market index, is made up of some of the largest companies in the country, so it’s natural to expect the performance of the TSX to track Canada’s economic growth. That’s why investors pay close attention to economic gages like gross domestic product (GDP), inflation, employment levels, consumer spending, and the […]

Wall Street Near Record Levels

TSX Expected to Hit New Milestone Later in 2024

The year 2023 defied expectations for Bay Street and Wall Street. Despite stubbornly high inflation and decades-high interest rates, the U.S. stock market closed out the year with one of its best performances. The S&P 500 advanced 24%, its longest winning streak since 2004, while the Nasdaq soared more than 43%, its highest annual gain […]

TSX On a Tear, Up 12% Since November. But Is It Justified?

TSX Up 12% Since November

Between January 1 and October 31, 2023, the TSX lost 3.3% of its value. But from November 1, 2023 to January 31, 2024, the TSX has rallied an impressive 12.2%. And the long-term outlook for the TSX remains bullish. But investors may be getting ahead of themselves. Why Is the TSX Doing So Well? On […]