Category Archives: Blog

Canada’s Inflation Slows to 3.1% in October—Will This Shut the Door on Additional Rate Hikes?

Canada’s Inflation Slows to 3.1% in October

Statistics Canada announced that Canada’s inflation rate slowed to 3.1% in October, that’s down significantly from the 3.8% reading in September. There is a caveat to that drop in inflation, however. The big deceleration was mainly a result of lower gas prices, which were down 6.4% over September and down 7.8% from where gas prices […]

The S&P 500 Could Hit a Record High in 2024, But the TSX Could Disappoint

How Will the TSX and S&P 500 Do in 2024?

This year was supposed to be a mixed one for stocks, with rising interest rates, stubbornly high inflation, and lower commodity prices expected to be headwinds for Canadian and U.S. stocks. But it hasn’t turned out that way. In spite of economic uncertainty, the S&P 500 is up 17.5% year-to-date, the NASDAQ has rallied an […]

Canadian Dollar Down 4.8% Since July on Weaker Oil and Soft Economic Data

Canadian Dollar Down 4.8%

The Canadian dollar has reversed the gains it made against the U.S. dollar in the first half of the year. The Canadian dollar performed well in the opening quarters of 2023, climbing 3.6% against the U.S. dollar. The loonie was actually the best performing major G-10 currency in June after rising 2.4%. That momentum carried […]

Remainder of 2023 Looks Bullish After Federal Reserve Pause’s Interest Rates

Federal Reserve Pause’s Interest Rates

Halloween may be over but that doesn’t mean it isn’t still scary on Bay Street and Wall Street. On July 27 the S&P 500 hit a 52-week high of 4,240, putting it up 19.5% year-to-date. The big moves defied logic, with inflation stubbornly high and interest rates still on the rise. But then stocks started […]

Canada’s Inflation Rate Unexpectedly Falls to 3.8% in September

Canada’s Inflation Cools in September

Canada’s inflation rate unexpectedly dipped in September to 3.8%. That’s down from 4.0% in August. The 3.8% figure is below the 4.0% figure economists were expecting inflation to come in at. The cooling of Canada’s inflation was pretty broad based too, with prices falling for some travel-related services, durable goods, and groceries. The latter of […]

Additional Interest Rate Hikes Still on the Table But Canada Is Not Headed for a Recession

Additional Interest Rate Hikes

Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said that the central bank’s aggressive interest rate policy is working at bringing down inflation. After raising its key lending rate 10 times since the start of 2022, from 0.25% to 5.0%, Canada’s inflation rate has retraced from a 39-year high of 8.1% in June 2022 to 4.0% today. […]

Where Should Investors Turn if Canada Enters a Recession?

How Should Canadians Invest During a Recession

With many economists and analysts still predicting Canada will enter a recession in 2024, investors may be wondering what they should do? Capitulate, wait on the sidelines, or get involved? What Are the Odds of a Soft-Landing Recession? First things first, the long-promised recession has not yet materialized but most believe it will. The Bank […]

Is Canada Still Heading for a Recession?

Is Canada Still Heading for a Recession?

Economists have been predicting a recession in Canada and the U.S. for months now. Despite decades-high inflation and an unprecedented interest rate hike policy, a recession has yet to materialize. If anything, the Canadian economy has proven to been more resilient than many expected. But cracks are beginning to appear. Economic growth is slowing, jobs […]

TSX Falls After Canada’s Inflation Jumps to 4.0% In August

Canada’s Inflation Rate Jumps

Canada’s inflation rate unexpectedly jumped in August for the second month in a row. This increases the odds that the Bank of Canada could increase interest rates at least once more this year. After pausing its overnight lending rate earlier in September, investors were optimistic that it would hold interest rates at 5%. Will The […]

September Is Living Up to Its Reputation as the Worst Month for Investing

Stocks Are Taking a Cue from The September Effect

For the most parts, stocks have been having a pretty solid year with the S&P 500 climbing 17.4% from January through August and the TSX up 4.68% over the same period. These gains come despite stubbornly high inflation, high interest rates, and ongoing fears about a recession. Even the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), which is […]